Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 8.187955 9.396259 10.741397 12.353410 14.237397 16.375111 18.992304
2025-01-26 6.756834 8.352609 10.280926 12.796199 16.010215 20.005734 25.389650
2025-02-02 5.842375 7.621029 9.902542 13.070799 17.399182 23.166999 31.537526
2025-02-09 5.291552 7.212695 9.800958 13.587338 19.059512 26.795540 38.764655
2025-02-16 4.605888 6.505823 9.169907 13.237701 19.397529 28.548013 43.495439
2025-02-23 4.126205 6.015998 8.762197 13.120224 20.005259 30.707808 49.091257
2025-03-02 3.731631 5.597407 8.397153 12.998037 20.553275 32.797958 54.834343
2025-03-09 3.382317 5.204872 8.020266 12.796206 20.921587 34.607035 60.328945
2025-03-16 3.063594 4.824769 7.617930 12.495597 21.068424 36.030730 65.314116
2025-03-23 2.952609 4.764460 7.718872 13.039286 22.720497 40.275815 76.173702
2025-03-30 2.783384 4.589683 7.608944 13.198407 23.693088 43.396729 85.339769
2025-04-06 2.591662 4.357997 7.377526 13.109945 24.186618 45.660056 93.108575
2025-04-13 2.403520 4.119113 7.116696 12.949196 24.541842 47.738623 100.935275
2025-04-20 2.325094 4.067326 7.184393 13.414072 26.184683 52.645559 115.882136
2025-04-27 2.228653 3.973412 7.164386 13.703236 27.501891 57.049893 130.489325
2025-05-04 2.172102 3.947653 7.268063 14.247542 29.419491 63.028311 150.030547
2025-05-11 2.011341 3.710677 6.944424 13.879085 29.310943 64.428138 158.342835
2025-05-18 1.892919 3.545807 6.747491 13.755297 29.729680 67.105432 170.497469
2025-05-25 1.784241 3.391347 6.557831 13.626553 30.119305 69.764423 183.123668
2025-06-01 1.676246 3.229881 6.340303 13.413905 30.285213 71.894041 194.690193
2025-06-08 1.567199 3.058165 6.087668 13.097221 30.162921 73.276384 204.367301
2025-06-15 1.547486 3.068704 6.218680 13.670015 32.297502 80.844291 234.303453
2025-06-22 1.492995 3.002053 6.178360 13.837680 33.431828 85.910360 257.585909